Prediction Markets

Swedish general election: Centre Party vote percent

At least 5%

At least 6%

Swedish general election: Sweden Democrats vote percent

At least 19%

At least 20%

Berlin State Election: 4th Place

Grüne

AfD

Swedish general election: Green Party vote percent

At least 6%

At least 7%

Swedish general election: Swedish Social Democratic Party vote percent

At least 30%

At least 32%

Swedish general election: Moderate Party vote percent

At least 17%

At least 18%

Which of these parties will win a Riksdag seat?

Örebropartiet

Liberals

Iceland EU Membership Negotiations Referendum

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro

Delcy Rodríguez

Berlin State Election: 2nd Place

CDU

AfD

Swedish Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

Moderate Party

Sweden Democrats

Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?

Magdalena Andersson

Ulf Kristersson

Brazil presidential election: first round winner?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Flávio Bolsonaro

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva, 5-10%

Lula da Silva, 0-5%

Who will advance in the Brazilian presidential election?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Flavio Bolsonaro

When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?

Before Jun 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

Alberta Separation Process Referendum passes?

Latvia parliamentary election winner?

United List

Sovereign Power

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election winner?

AfD

SPD

Saxony-Anhalt state election winner?

BSW

SPD

French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?

Raphaël Glucksmann

François Hollande

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Gadi Eizenkot

Benjamin Netanyahu

Mayor of Johannesburg after municipal elections?

Helen Zille

Frank Chikane

Cape Verde presidential election winner?

PAICV

MpD

Saxony-Anhalt state election: Greens vote percent

At least 4%

At least 5%

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Raphaël Glucksmann

Gérald Darmanin

Prime Minister of Serbia after the next election?

Aleksandar Vučić

Ana Brnabić

Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?

The Democrats

Likud

How many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?

40 or more

42 or more

Saxony-Anhalt state election: AfD vote percent

At least 40%

At least 42%

Turkish presidential election winner?

Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

Ekrem İmamoğlu

Saxony-Anhalt state election: Die Linke vote percent

At least 12%

At least 16%

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